057 WTNT80 EGRR 081610 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.10.2024 HURRICANE MILTON ANALYSED POSITION : 22.7N 88.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.10.2024 22.7N 88.6W INTENSE 00UTC 09.10.2024 23.3N 87.2W INTENSE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.10.2024 24.8N 85.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 26.4N 84.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 27.6N 82.4W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.10.2024 28.3N 79.5W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.10.2024 28.4N 76.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2024 28.4N 74.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2024 30.0N 72.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2024 31.0N 68.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2024 32.5N 63.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2024 31.9N 58.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.10.2024 31.2N 54.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2024 29.4N 51.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 19.1N 45.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.10.2024 19.1N 45.2W MODERATE 00UTC 09.10.2024 20.3N 46.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 21.6N 48.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 22.4N 49.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 23.2N 50.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2024 24.7N 50.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2024 27.1N 49.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2024 30.0N 46.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2024 33.6N 41.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2024 34.0N 35.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2024 33.9N 32.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2024 33.1N 31.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2024 33.2N 30.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99E ANALYSED POSITION : 19.3N 106.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP992024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.10.2024 19.3N 106.9W WEAK 00UTC 09.10.2024 19.7N 107.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 20.1N 107.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 27.5N 76.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.10.2024 27.5N 76.4W WEAK 00UTC 09.10.2024 28.8N 73.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 29.1N 70.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 31.3N 65.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 32.3N 60.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 16.1N 20.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.10.2024 16.1N 21.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.10.2024 17.8N 23.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2024 18.6N 26.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2024 19.9N 27.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2024 20.0N 28.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 081610