583 WTNT80 EGRR 101610 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.10.2024 HURRICANE LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 23.0N 50.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2024 23.0N 50.2W STRONG 00UTC 11.10.2024 24.2N 51.1W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.10.2024 26.2N 50.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2024 29.1N 48.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2024 33.0N 44.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2024 36.6N 37.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2024 38.0N 31.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2024 37.7N 26.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2024 36.7N 22.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2024 36.0N 18.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2024 35.7N 13.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2024 36.6N 8.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE MILTON ANALYSED POSITION : 28.9N 79.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2024 28.9N 79.5W MODERATE 00UTC 11.10.2024 28.8N 75.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2024 28.9N 69.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2024 27.5N 65.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2024 27.7N 62.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2024 27.8N 60.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2024 28.1N 57.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2024 28.8N 55.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2024 28.8N 54.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2024 28.9N 54.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2024 30.3N 53.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2024 33.2N 52.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 19.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2024 14.2N 19.7W WEAK 00UTC 11.10.2024 14.7N 21.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2024 15.5N 25.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2024 16.5N 26.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2024 18.0N 29.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2024 17.8N 31.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2024 18.1N 33.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 31.6N 62.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.10.2024 31.6N 62.8W WEAK 00UTC 12.10.2024 32.5N 55.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2024 33.9N 48.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 150 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+150 : 35.8N 68.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.10.2024 36.9N 67.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 17.10.2024 40.2N 63.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 101610