947 
WTNT80 EGRR 120411

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 12.10.2024

        TROPICAL STORM LESLIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 28.5N  48.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.10.2024  28.5N  48.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.10.2024  32.2N  45.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2024  35.9N  39.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2024  38.1N  33.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2024  38.7N  27.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2024  38.0N  21.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2024  38.4N  17.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2024  40.3N  14.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2024  43.1N  10.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM 94L        ANALYSED POSITION : 16.5N  27.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.10.2024  16.5N  27.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.10.2024  17.8N  29.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2024  17.7N  31.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2024  18.1N  33.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2024  18.0N  36.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2024  17.5N  38.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2024  17.4N  40.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2024  16.8N  43.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2024  17.2N  45.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2024  17.7N  49.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 30.3N  61.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.10.2024  30.3N  61.4W   MODERATE
 12UTC 12.10.2024  30.6N  55.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2024  32.1N  51.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.10.2024  34.8N  41.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2024  35.9N  36.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2024  35.3N  30.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 156 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+156 : 23.8N  60.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.10.2024  23.8N  60.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.10.2024  25.1N  61.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 120411