864 
WTNT80 EGRR 151612

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.10.2024

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L        ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N  42.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.10.2024  16.1N  42.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.10.2024  16.0N  44.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2024  16.2N  47.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2024  16.6N  51.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.10.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 35.0N  70.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.10.2024  36.1N  70.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.10.2024  38.1N  68.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.10.2024  37.8N  66.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.10.2024  35.8N  63.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.10.2024  33.3N  61.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.10.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 168 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+168 : 34.5N  13.9E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.10.2024  34.5N  13.9E     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 151612