235 
WTNT80 EGRR 200411

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 20.10.2024

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION NADINE     ANALYSED POSITION : 16.9N  90.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.10.2024  16.9N  90.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 20.10.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE OSCAR      ANALYSED POSITION : 21.3N  72.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.10.2024  21.3N  72.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 20.10.2024  20.8N  73.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2024  20.9N  74.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.10.2024  21.1N  75.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.10.2024  21.9N  75.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2024  23.1N  74.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2024  24.5N  72.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2024  25.1N  71.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2024  26.3N  68.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2024  27.9N  65.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2024  28.9N  61.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2024  29.4N  58.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.10.2024  30.1N  55.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2024  30.5N  53.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 12.8N 100.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.10.2024  13.1N 102.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2024  13.1N 104.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2024  13.3N 108.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2024  13.3N 112.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2024  13.3N 116.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2024  12.8N 119.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2024  12.7N 123.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2024  13.3N 125.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2024  14.2N 128.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2024  15.0N 130.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2024  16.2N 133.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 156 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+156 : 30.8N  37.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.10.2024  30.8N  37.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 27.10.2024  31.5N  38.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 200411