950 
WTNT80 EGRR 220412

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 22.10.2024

        TROPICAL STORM KRISTY     ANALYSED POSITION : 13.3N 102.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.10.2024  13.3N 102.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 22.10.2024  14.1N 105.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2024  14.7N 109.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2024  14.0N 113.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2024  13.6N 117.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2024  13.3N 121.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2024  13.0N 124.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2024  13.1N 127.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2024  13.7N 129.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2024  14.7N 131.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2024  15.8N 133.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.10.2024  16.9N 136.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.10.2024  16.6N 138.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2024  16.3N 141.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.10.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM OSCAR      ANALYSED POSITION : 21.3N  75.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.10.2024  21.3N  75.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 22.10.2024  22.2N  74.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2024  24.1N  71.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2024  26.9N  68.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2024  32.0N  65.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.10.2024  36.7N  64.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 25.10.2024  39.9N  60.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2024  45.8N  55.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2024  50.5N  50.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2024  54.2N  42.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2024  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 29.9N  50.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.10.2024  29.9N  50.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 28.10.2024  31.4N  49.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2024  31.8N  49.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.10.2024  30.7N  48.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 220412