844 
WTNT80 EGRR 240412

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 24.10.2024

             HURRICANE KRISTY     ANALYSED POSITION : 14.1N 116.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 24.10.2024  14.1N 116.3W   INTENSE
 12UTC 24.10.2024  13.9N 119.5W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 25.10.2024  14.3N 121.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2024  15.6N 123.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2024  17.5N 125.8W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.10.2024  19.8N 127.7W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.10.2024  22.5N 128.9W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 27.10.2024  24.2N 128.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 28.10.2024  24.5N 128.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.10.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 36.2N  65.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.10.2024  36.8N  64.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2024  37.5N  61.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2024  41.7N  57.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2024  46.9N  54.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2024  50.4N  49.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 12.8N 131.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 31.10.2024  13.4N 131.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 240412