133 WTNT80 EGRR 251612 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 25.10.2024 HURRICANE KRISTY ANALYSED POSITION : 15.4N 124.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.10.2024 15.4N 124.3W INTENSE 00UTC 26.10.2024 17.2N 125.8W INTENSE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 26.10.2024 19.2N 127.3W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 27.10.2024 21.3N 128.5W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 27.10.2024 22.9N 128.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 28.10.2024 23.2N 129.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 33.0N 50.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.10.2024 33.2N 49.5W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 28.10.2024 34.2N 48.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2024 38.0N 47.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.10.2024 38.3N 45.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.10.2024 40.0N 44.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.10.2024 42.7N 42.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.10.2024 42.0N 44.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.10.2024 41.4N 42.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.10.2024 41.4N 41.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.11.2024 41.5N 37.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.11.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 251612