814 
WTNT80 EGRR 080410

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 08.11.2024

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.5N 103.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.11.2024  11.5N 103.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.11.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE RAFAEL     ANALYSED POSITION : 24.7N  86.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL182024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.11.2024  24.7N  86.7W    STRONG
 12UTC 08.11.2024  24.4N  88.6W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.11.2024  24.7N  90.0W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 09.11.2024  25.1N  91.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.11.2024  25.4N  91.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.11.2024  26.1N  92.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.11.2024  26.4N  91.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.11.2024  26.5N  91.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.11.2024  25.0N  91.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.11.2024  24.0N  91.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.11.2024  23.0N  91.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.11.2024  22.9N  92.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.11.2024  22.2N  93.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2024  20.5N  94.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 30.3N  72.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.11.2024  30.2N  69.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.11.2024  28.9N  66.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2024  27.3N  66.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2024  25.5N  66.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 156 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+156 :  9.7N 132.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.11.2024   9.7N 132.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 15.11.2024  10.0N 134.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 080410