934 
WTNT80 EGRR 121613

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.11.2024

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 :  9.9N 117.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.11.2024  10.1N 117.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.11.2024  10.5N 117.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2024  10.8N 117.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2024  11.1N 117.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.11.2024  10.9N 117.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2024  11.1N 117.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2024  11.3N 117.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2024  11.6N 117.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2024  12.0N 117.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2024  11.9N 116.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2024  11.9N 116.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2024  11.5N 116.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2024  11.4N 115.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 16.6N  83.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.11.2024  17.0N  84.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2024  16.7N  83.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2024  16.3N  83.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2024  15.9N  82.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2024  15.7N  82.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2024  16.1N  83.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2024  17.2N  84.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2024  19.5N  86.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2024  21.8N  88.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 33.6N  74.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.11.2024  33.6N  74.7W   MODERATE
 00UTC 16.11.2024  32.8N  73.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.11.2024  33.8N  65.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2024  36.4N  61.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2024  38.4N  59.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2024  41.6N  56.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2024  45.0N  55.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 16.5N 108.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.11.2024  16.5N 108.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.11.2024  16.1N 106.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2024  15.9N 105.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2024  15.6N 105.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2024  15.6N 103.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 121613