985 
WTNT80 EGRR 141613

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.11.2024

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19L        ANALYSED POSITION : 15.7N  82.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL192024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.11.2024  15.7N  82.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 15.11.2024  16.3N  83.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.11.2024  16.4N  85.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2024  16.1N  85.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2024  15.9N  86.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2024  16.6N  86.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2024  16.6N  87.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2024  17.2N  88.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 11.9N 117.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.11.2024  11.9N 117.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.11.2024  11.5N 118.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2024  11.1N 119.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2024  11.0N 120.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2024  10.9N 120.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2024  11.1N 119.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2024  11.0N 119.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2024  10.6N 120.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2024  10.3N 120.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2024   9.5N 121.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.11.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 34.3N  75.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.11.2024  34.3N  75.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.11.2024  32.3N  71.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.11.2024  31.0N  66.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2024  31.7N  61.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2024  38.3N  58.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2024  39.6N  57.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.11.2024  42.4N  57.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.11.2024  43.8N  55.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2024  47.4N  55.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.11.2024  46.4N  60.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.11.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 :  8.2N 135.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 17.11.2024   8.1N 136.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2024   8.2N 139.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2024   8.3N 142.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2024   8.6N 145.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2024   8.9N 148.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 141613