000
AXNT20 KNHC 130510
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Mar 13 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0455 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... 

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 11N15W and continues southwestward to 01N19W. 
The ITCZ continues from 01N19W to 03S40W. Numerous showers and
isolated thunderstorms are evident in the Gulf of Guinea.
Scattered showers are found south of 03N and between 16W and 23W
and also south of 05N and west of 37W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure dominates the Gulf of America maintaining fairly
tranquil weather conditions. The pressure gradient between the
aforementioned ridge and lower pressures in Mexico and Texas
support fresh southerly winds off the Texas and Louisiana coasts,
while fresh to locally strong E-SE winds are found off Veracruz 
and Yucatan. Seas in these waters are 3-5 ft. Elsewhere, moderate 
or weaker winds and slight seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, .

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The remnants of a stationary front are evident in the NW
Caribbean, stretching from Hispaniola to eastern Yucatan. The weak
convergence zone generates a few showers, also affecting Jamaica
and SE Cuba. A ridge located just north of the Bahamas forces
fresh to strong easterly trade winds across the south-central
Caribbean waters. These winds sustain seas of 3-6 ft. Moderate to
locally fresh easterly breezes and slight to moderate seas are
found in the north-central and eastern Caribbean, Windward
Passage, Gulf of Honduras and lee of Cuba. Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds and slight seas prevail.

For the forecast, . 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front enters the central Atlantic near 31N53W and continues
southwestward to eastern Hispaniola. satellite imagery depict
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms ahead of the frontal
boundary. A recent scatterometer satellite pass captured fresh to
near gale-force SW-W winds north of 22N and between 41W and 65W.
Seas in these waters are 8-16 ft, with the highest seas noted near
31N55W. The gale-force winds have lifted north of our waters,
thus the Gale Warning that was in effect with this system has been
allowed to expire. However, mariners should be aware that gale-
force winds, mainly in gusts, are likely occurring with the
strongest storms.

A 1020 mb high pressure system dominates the remainder of the SW
North Atlantic, allowing for moderate or weaker winds and moderate
to rough seas west of 65W. In the rest of the central and eastern
Atlantic, a cold front stretches from 31N11W to 24N27W, followed
by a stationary front to 25N47W. Satellite-derived wind data show
fresh to strong westerly winds north of 28N and east of 30W. Seas
in the area described are 8-17 ft, with the highest seas occurring
near 30N19W. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate to rough seas
are present north of 23N and east of 41W. Elsewhere, broad ridging
supports moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to
locally rough seas, especially between the Cabo Verde Islands and
the African mainland.

For the forecast west of 55W, .

$$
Delgado