Hurricane EMILY
ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT JUL 16 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST TUE JUL 19 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
17.5N 81.5W 48 1 X X 49 MMVR 192N 961W X X X 2 2
18.9N 84.7W 1 34 1 X 36 MMFR 185N 926W X X 1 7 8
20.3N 87.6W X 6 22 1 29 MMMD 210N 897W X X 18 7 25
MKJP 179N 768W 22 X X X 22 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 2 2
MKJS 185N 779W 21 X X X 21 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 3 3
MWCG 193N 814W 25 10 X X 35 GALVESTON TX X X X 5 5
MUSN 216N 826W X 11 3 X 14 FREEPORT TX X X X 5 5
MUHA 230N 824W X 2 1 1 4 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 6 6
MUAN 219N 850W X 10 12 X 22 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 5 5
MMCZ 205N 869W X 11 19 X 30 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 8 8
MZBZ 175N 883W X 2 10 2 14 GULF 28N 89W X X X 4 4
MGPB 157N 886W X X 1 2 3 GULF 28N 91W X X X 7 7
MHNJ 165N 859W X 10 3 X 13 GULF 28N 93W X X X 9 9
MMSO 238N 982W X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 95W X X X 9 9
MMTM 222N 979W X X X 4 4 GULF 27N 96W X X X 10 10
MMTX 210N 974W X X X 3 3 GULF 25N 96W X X X 13 13
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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