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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Jun 26 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Off the Southern and Southwestern Coast of Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms are beginning to show some signs of
organization in association with an area of low pressure located
several hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for development
of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during
the middle part of this week as the system moves slowly
west-northwestward, parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
2. South of Southern Mexico and Central America:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of
the coasts of Guatemala and El Salvador is producing an area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development
of this system is possible during the next several days, and a
tropical depression is likely to form during the middle to latter
part of this week while it moves slowly west-northwestward to
northwestward, roughly parallel to the southern and southwestern
coasts of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Bucci/Brown