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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Oct 9 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance unit aircraft has recently been
flying through the large non-tropical low pressure area located
about 100 miles southeast of Morehead City, North Carolina. While
the low is producing a broad area of gale-force winds to the north
and east of the center, the plane did not find a well-defined
center, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not
become any better organized today. This system could still become
a short-lived subtropical storm through Sunday, but environmental
conditions should become unfavorable for any further development on
Monday. The low is forecast to move slowly northwestward and
approach eastern North Carolina tonight and early Sunday.
Interests in that area should monitor the progress of this system
and refer to local National Weather Service office products for
more information. Regardless of development, intermittent periods
of locally heavy rains and gusty winds will affect southeastern and
eastern portions of North Carolina during the next day or two.
Additional information on this low pressure system, including gale
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
Forecaster Blake