Hurricane NORBERT

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE NORBERT ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
200 PM PDT THU SEP 04 2014

...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.2N 110.8W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON THE WEST COAST
OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND ON THE EAST COAST OF THE PENINSULA FROM
NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO CABO SAN LAZARO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST. NORBERT IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TODAY AND
MOVE NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE PENINSULA THROUGH
SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH A
GRADUAL WEAKENING FORECAST TO BEGIN ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE LATEST CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 970 MB...28.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA WITHIN A FEW HOURS...AND SPREAD
NORTHWARD WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

RAINFALL...NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES THROUGH SATURDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST
OF MEXICO TODAY. THE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND ALONG THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF
CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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