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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM COLIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032016
100 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2016

...BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS APPROACHING SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA AND THE KEYS...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.7N 86.5W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Indian Pass to Englewood
* Sebastian Inlet Florida to South Santee River South Carolina

Interests elsewhere along the southeastern coast of the United
States should monitor the progress of Colin.  Additional warnings
or watches may be required for parts of this area later today.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Colin was
estimated near latitude 27.7 North, longitude 86.5 West. Colin is
moving toward the north-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). A turn
toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected
by this evening, and a rapid northeastward motion is expected
overnight and Tuesday. On this track, the center of Colin is
forecast to approach the coast of the Florida Big Bend area late
this afternoon or evening, move across portions of Florida and
southeastern Georgia early Tuesday morning, and move near the
southeastern coast of the United States later on Tuesday.  However,
it's important to note that the strongest winds and heaviest rains
are well removed from the center.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts
in rainbands located well to the east and southeast of the center.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of
days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 250 miles (400 km)
to the southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Colin is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 5
inches with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches possible across the
northeastern Yucatan peninsula, western Cuba, western to northern
Florida, southeastern Georgia, and coastal areas of the Carolinas
through Tuesday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising
waters.  The water could reach the following heights above ground if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Indian Pass to Tampa Bay...1 to 3 ft with slightly higher amounts
possible in a few locations.
Tampa Bay south to Florida Bay...1 to 2 ft.

Localized coastal flooding and dangerous surf are possible along the
Atlantic coast from Florida to South Carolina within the tropical
storm warning area.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.  For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

WIND: Brief squalls with winds to near tropical storm force will
be moving through portions of the Florida Keys this afternoon.
Tropical storm conditions reached the west coast of the Florida
peninsula this morning, and will continue through this evening.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the warning area
along the Atlantic coast by early Tuesday.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today and tonight across
portions of Florida and far southern Georgia.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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