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TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172017
1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2017
 
INTERESTS IN EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF NORMA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 109.5W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 120SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 109.5W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 109.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.7N 109.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.1N 109.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.4N 109.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.9N 109.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.0N 110.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 23.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 25.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 109.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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