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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Showers and thunderstorms are gradually organizing in association
with an area of low pressure located about 500 miles south-southwest
of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are
conducive for continued development, and a tropical depression is
expected to form during the next day or two while the system moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
2. Another area of low pressure is located about 1100 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the
circulation appears well defined, showers and thunderstorms are
poorly organized and confined to an area southeast of the center.
Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for
development during the next couple of days, and a tropical
depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves
generally westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Cangialosi/Reinhart