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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Sep 17 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Lester, located along the coast of southwestern Mexico.
1. Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a well-defined low
pressure system have shown signs of becoming better organized over
the past few hours. If current trends continue, advisories will be
initiated on a new tropical depression or tropical storm this
afternoon. The low is forecast to meander off the southwestern coast
of Mexico today and then head northward or north-northwestward on
Sunday. A slow turn toward the northwest or west-northwest is then
expected through the middle of next week. For more information on
this system, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.
2. South of Central America and Southeastern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form over the far eastern portion of
the eastern North Pacific basin early next week. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development
while the system moves west-northwestward near or offshore the coast
of southern Mexico through mid-week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
3. South of Southern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the
southern coast of Mexico by the middle of next week. Some gradual
development is possible thereafter while the disturbance moves
generally west-northwestward off the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
Forecaster D. Zelinsky