000
AXNT20 KNHC 111006
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Apr 11 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1000 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... 

The monsoon trough extends from near 08N13W to 04N16W, where it 
transitions to the ITCZ and continues to 04S38W. Scattered 
moderate convection is S of 08N and E of 35W. 

GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1022 mb high pressure is centered over the northwest Gulf near 
27N91W. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds are observed on the 
periphery of the high pressure. Seas are 2 to 4 ft in these 
areas. Gentle breezes and 1 to 3 ft seas are noted elsewhere. No 
significant convection is observed at this time. Areas of smoke 
due to agricultural fires onshore are noted off Tampico in the 
western Gulf. 

For the forecast, tranquil weather will prevail through this morning. A
weak cold front will move through the E Gulf this afternoon 
through Sat. Fresh to strong NW to N winds will follow the front 
over the NE Gulf tonight into Sat before diminishing. High 
pressure will build in the wake of the front with moderate to 
fresh S return flow developing over the W Gulf Sun and Mon before 
diminishing.  

CARIBBEAN SEA... 

A stationary front extends from eastern Cuba to eastern Jamaica,
then a trough continues from that point to 12N82W. Drier air is 
noted west of the front/trough. Moderate to fresh N winds and 4 
to 6 ft seas are noted west of the front. Moderate to fresh E 
trade winds and 4 to 6 ft seas are evident over the eastern 
Caribbean. Broad upper troughing across the northwest Caribbean 
is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms off Colombia and
eastern Panama. 

For the forecast, the front will dissipate tonight. Fresh to 
strong N winds will persist off Nicaragua through the weekend 
before diminishing on Mon. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades 
will prevail in the south-central Caribbean into the weekend 
before strengthening early next week. 

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from west of Bermuda to E Cuba. West 
of the front, 5 to 7 ft seas and moderate to fresh NE winds are 
noted. Over the eastern Atlantic, moderate to fresh NE to N winds 
and 8 to 9 ft N swell are noted north of a stationary front along 
17N. Moderate to fresh E to NE winds and are noted elsewhere with 
5 to 7 ft seas, except for 8 to 9 ft seas over the tropical 
Atlantic south of 15N.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front over western 
Atlantic will dissipate today. The next cold front will move off 
the coast of Florida tonight. The front will progress across the 
forecast waters, followed by fresh W to NW winds north of 29N Sat 
into Mon. High pressure will build in the wake of the front by 
early next week.

$$
ERA