000
AXNT20 KNHC 251736
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Mar 25 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: Strong to near-gale force E winds continue
off the NW coast of Colombia, with seas peaking near 12-13 ft.
Winds will pulse up to gale-force again later this evening and
overnight before diminishing later Wednesday morning. These 
pulses of stronger winds offshore Colombia will occur each 
evening through Friday, with gusts to gale force possible. Please
refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at the website: 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for more details.

Agadir Gale Warning: An enhanced pressure gradient between a 1036
mb high centered near 33N28W and lower pressure over N Africa will
support a round of N to NE gale-force winds between the Canary 
Islands and the coast of Morocco. A Gale Warning is in effect 
until 2100 UTC today. For more details, refer to the Meteo-France
High Seas forecast listed on their website: 
https://wwmiws.wmo.int.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... 

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and continues 
SW to 05N19W. The ITCZ continues from 05N19W to 01N50W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 00N to 04N between 20W and 50W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A cold front enters the Gulf from the Big Bend of Florida to near
29N86W. A pre-frontal surface trough extends from just north of 
Tampa Bay to near 27N88W. Another surface trough extends across 
the W Gulf from the Bay of Campeche to near 23N96W to 26N94W. 
Moderate to locally fresh winds in cyclonic flow are occurring in 
the central to E Gulf around the cold front and pre-frontal
trough. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds persist across the W Gulf,
also in cyclonic flow around the surface trough. Slight seas
prevail across the basin.

For the forecast, high pressure across the basin will generally 
support light to gentle SE to S winds over the western and central
Gulf, and gentle to moderate winds over the eastern part of the 
basin into Wed. A surface trough will develop over the Yucatan 
Peninsula and move into the Bay of Campeche nightly through early 
this week, supporting pulses of fresh to locally strong winds over
adjacent waters. A cold front will skirt the NE Gulf early today.
High pressure building into the basin in its wake will lead to 
moderate to fresh southeast winds and building seas across the NW 
Gulf by Thu. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A Gale Warning is in effect offshore Colombia. Please refer to 
the Special Features section above for more information. 

Aside from the area of gale force winds, fresh to strong E winds
prevail over the central and eastern Caribbean, with seas in the 
7-11 ft range. Moderate to fresh E winds and seas of 4-7 ft are 
found across the remainder of the basin from the Gulf of Honduras
across the W Caribbean to the Yucatan Channel.

For the forecast, fresh to strong E to NE winds offshore of 
Colombia and Venezuela will pulse to gale force offshore of 
Colombia tonight. These winds will then pulse to near gale force 
at night through Fri. Fresh E winds in the Gulf of Honduras will 
diminish to moderate speeds this afternoon.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the waters between the Canary
Islands and the Moroccan Coast. Please refer to the Special
Features section above for details. 

High pressure dominates the Atlantic discussion waters. Fresh to
strong winds prevail over much of the Atlantic waters south of a
line running from the Canary Islands to the northern coast of
Puerto Rico. Seas across this large region are 8-11 ft. To the
north of this line, moderate to fresh winds in anticyclonic flow
are observed, along with moderate seas. Areas S of another line 
running from the coast of Senegal near Dakar to the N coast of 
Brazil near Sao Luis are seeing mainly moderate N to NE winds and 
seas of 6-10 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure over the western 
Atlantic will support gentle breezes and slight to moderate seas 
north of 22N through Wed. The area of high pressure will shift 
eastward enabling a weak cold front to move off the northeast 
Florida coast early today before dissipating. Fresh to locally 
strong winds are likely to pulse off the northern coast of 
Hispaniola into Wed. Another cold front may move into waters 
between northeast Florida and Bermuda Wed. High pressure will 
build in the wake of the front, bringing an increase in winds 
across much of the waters S of 28N by the end of the week and 
with little change in marine conditions expected into Sat night.

$$
Adams