000
AXPZ20 KNHC 072036
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Fri Mar 7 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2000 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N80W to 06N110W to 03N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N to 06N between 
87W and 111W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A cold front extends from the central Gulf of California across
Baja California to 24N122W. Fresh to locally strong winds follow
the front. Seas offshore Baja California Norte are 8 to 13 ft. S
of the front, extending to near Cabo Corrientes, mainly moderate
winds prevail with seas of 4 to 7 ft. Elsewhere, winds are gentle
with seas of 3 to 5 ft. 

For the forecast, gap winds will commence in the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec Sun afternoon as high pressure builds into NE Mexico,
reaching gale force Sun night and prevailing through Mon night. 
Near gale force winds in the northern Gulf of California in the 
wake of a cold front will diminish to strong this afternoon as 
the front weakens and moves S of the area. Fresh to locally 
strong northerly winds, and large NW swell is expected off Baja 
California Norte today into Saturday. High pressure building into
the region will lead to fresh to locally strong NW to N winds in
the central and southern Gulf of California southward to Cabo 
Corrientes this weekend. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh NE to E winds are across the Papagayo region with 5-7 ft 
seas. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds are over the Gulf of Panama
and near the Azuero Peninsula with 4 to 6 ft seas. Light to 
gentle winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are ongoing elsewhere.

For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh N to NE winds will 
pulse across the Gulf of Panama through Sat, mainly at night. 
Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas 
will prevail across the remainder of the offshore waters into the
upcoming weekend. Fresh to strong NE to E winds will developing 
in the Papagayo region Mon night. Seas may build well offshore 
western Guatemala late Mon into Tue due to possible gale-force 
gap winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA....

A cold front extends from 24N122W to 28N128W. Moderate N winds
and rough seas follow the front. A belt of fresh to locally
strong trades W of 120W from 05N to 20N is helping to induce 8 to
11 ft seas. Elsewhere, mainly moderate winds prevail with seas of
4 to 7 ft. 

The initial cold front will move SE and dissipate into Sat, but a
new cold front will move into the NW waters late Sat then
progress E into the start of next week, bringing fresh to strong
winds behind in and another set of large to very large NW swell.
Seas along 30N may reach 15 ft Sun and Mon. Elsewhere, fresh to
locally strong trades will prevail W of 115W between the monsoon
trough and about 20N, where the pressure gradient between
subtropical ridge and the monsoon trough will be tightest.

$$
Konarik