Tropical Storm BILL

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE JUL 01 2003
 
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 035/14.  THE GUIDANCE MODELS ARE IN
AGREEMENT SHOWING A TURN TOWARD THE EAST AND THEN DISSIPATING AFTER
48 HOUR OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND AS THE DEPRESSION
MERGES WITH THE CIRCULATION OF AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM THAT IS
MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS CANADA.
 
THE CENTER IS LOCATED BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS WHICH SUGGEST A
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1004 MB AND WINDS LESS THAN 25 KNOTS.
THE CENTER VIEWED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES IS DISPLACED
CONSIDERABLY EAST OF THE SURFACE CENTER.

HEAVY RAIN AND INLAND FLOODING CONTINUES TO BE A SERIOUS THREAT TO
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE CONTAINED IN ADVISORIES
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      01/1500Z 33.2N  87.7W    25 KT
 12HR VT     02/0000Z 34.6N  85.7W    20 KT
 24HR VT     02/1200Z 36.0N  82.0W    20 KT
 36HR VT     03/0000Z 36.5N  79.0W    20 KT
 48HR VT     03/1200Z 37.5N  75.5W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 72HR VT     04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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