Tropical Depression FIVE
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052003
1500Z WED JUL 16 2003
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 54.5W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1015 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 54.5W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 54.2W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 33.3N 56.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 37.0N 56.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 38.5N 55.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 41.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 42.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 42.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 54.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
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