Hurricane FABIAN
ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102003
2100Z SAT AUG 30 2003
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 49.8W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 49.8W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 49.2W
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 17.7N 51.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 18.0N 54.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.5N 59.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 23.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 26.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 49.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN