Hurricane FABIAN
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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102003
2100Z MON SEP 01 2003
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 57.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 75SE 75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 57.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 57.3W
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.6N 59.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 75SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 75SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 21.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 75SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 23.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 75SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.5N 66.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 31.5N 68.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 38.0N 68.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 57.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI
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