Hurricane FABIAN
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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102003
0300Z TUE SEP 02 2003
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 58.6W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 58.6W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 58.3W
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N 60.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.8N 62.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT... 80NE 65SE 45SW 65NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.1N 63.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT... 80NE 65SE 45SW 65NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 23.3N 64.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.0N 67.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 85NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 90SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 33.0N 68.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 40.5N 67.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 58.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
FORECASTER STEWART
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