Hurricane FABIAN
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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102003
2100Z WED SEP 03 2003
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE WILL LIKELY ISSUE A HURRICANE WATCH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. ALL INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FABIAN.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 62.9W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 944 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 200SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 62.9W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 62.9W
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 24.0N 64.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 28.5N 66.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 31.5N 66.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 37.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 45.0N 53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 55.0N 37.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 62.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
FORECASTER AVILA
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