Hurricane FABIAN
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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102003
1500Z SUN SEP 07 2003
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.4N 52.2W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 22 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
50 KT.......125NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
34 KT.......225NE 225SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 375SE 225SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.4N 52.2W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.5N 53.5W
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 44.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 150SW 200NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 48.5N 41.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 100SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 150SW 200NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 53.0N 34.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 100SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 125SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 250SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 58.0N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 75NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 61.0N 39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 58.0N 39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 57.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.4N 52.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH
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