Tropical Depression NINETEEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL192003
2100Z MON OCT 13 2003
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.6N  38.7W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  30 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.6N  38.7W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.6N  38.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z  9.8N  39.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 10.0N  41.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 10.4N  42.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 10.8N  43.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 11.5N  45.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 12.5N  47.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 13.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.6N  38.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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