Hurricane MARTY
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HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003
1500Z SUN SEP 21 2003
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM BAHIA
MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO
SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST
COAST AND FROM MULEGE TO SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 109.1W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 200SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 109.1W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 109.0W
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.4N 109.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 125SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.3N 110.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.6N 111.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.9N 112.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.0N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 32.0N 113.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 34.0N 113.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 109.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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