Hurricane MARTY
ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003
1500Z MON SEP 22 2003
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA AND ALSO NORTHWARD
ALONG THE COAST MAINLAND MEXICO TO BAHIA KINO.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM BAHIA SAN
JUAN BAUTISTA SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FOR THE COAST OF
MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO TO TOPOLOBAMPO. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND FOR
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO ALTATA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 110.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 125SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 200SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 110.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 109.9W
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.9N 110.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 28.2N 111.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.9N 112.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 25NE 25SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.5N 112.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 31.0N 112.5W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 110.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
NNNN