Tropical Storm DANNY
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TROPICAL STORM DANNY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU JUL 17 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST SUN JUL 20 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
36.6N 55.9W 33 1 X X 34 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X 2 2 4
38.4N 54.5W 11 8 1 1 21 BURGEO NFLD X X 3 3 6
39.7N 52.5W 1 10 4 2 17 ILE ST PIERRE X 1 4 3 8
SABLE ISLAND NS X 2 3 1 6 CAPE RACE NFLD X X 4 5 9
SYDNEY NS X 1 2 1 4 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 6 6
EDDY POINT NS X X 2 1 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
C FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
D FROM 2AM SAT TO 2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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