Hurricane FABIAN
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HURRICANE FABIAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT AUG 30 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST TUE SEP 2 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.0N 51.8W 48 X X X 48 TFFR 163N 615W X X X 4 4
18.6N 54.0W 6 26 X X 32 TAPA 171N 618W X X X 6 6
19.2N 56.1W X 14 11 1 26 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 4 4
TDPR 153N 614W X X X 2 2 TNCM 181N 631W X X X 5 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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