Hurricane FABIAN
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HURRICANE FABIAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN AUG 31 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST WED SEP 3 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.3N 57.3W 47 X X X 47 TIST 183N 650W X X 2 5 7
20.0N 59.5W 6 26 X X 32 TJPS 180N 666W X X X 3 3
21.0N 61.5W X 14 11 1 26 TJSJ 184N 661W X X 1 4 5
TFFR 163N 615W X 1 2 1 4 ST CROIX VI X X 2 3 5
TAPA 171N 618W X 3 4 1 8 ST THOMAS VI X X 2 5 7
TKPK 173N 627W X 1 4 3 8 SAN JUAN PR X X 1 4 5
TNCM 181N 631W X 1 7 3 11 PONCE PR X X X 3 3
TISX 177N 648W X X 2 3 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON
C FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
D FROM 8AM TUE TO 8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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