Hurricane FABIAN
ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FABIAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN AUG 31 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST WED SEP 3 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.0N 58.0W 50 X X X 50 TIST 183N 650W X X 3 3 6
20.0N 60.0W 8 25 X X 33 TJPS 180N 666W X X X 2 2
21.0N 62.0W X 13 12 1 26 TJSJ 184N 661W X X 1 3 4
TFFR 163N 615W X 1 1 X 2 ST CROIX VI X X 2 2 4
TAPA 171N 618W X 3 3 X 6 ST THOMAS VI X X 3 3 6
TKPK 173N 627W X 1 4 1 6 SAN JUAN PR X X 1 3 4
TNCM 181N 631W X 2 6 2 10 PONCE PR X X X 2 2
TISX 177N 648W X X 2 2 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN