Hurricane FABIAN
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HURRICANE FABIAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN AUG 31 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST WED SEP 3 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.6N 58.6W 46 X X X 46 TISX 177N 648W X X 3 3 6
20.5N 60.6W 9 22 1 X 32 TIST 183N 650W X X 4 4 8
21.5N 62.5W X 15 10 1 26 TJPS 180N 666W X X 1 2 3
TDPR 153N 614W X 1 X 1 2 TJSJ 184N 661W X X 1 4 5
SVBS 157N 636W X X 1 1 2 ST CROIX VI X X 3 3 6
TFFR 163N 615W X 3 2 1 6 ST THOMAS VI X X 4 4 8
TAPA 171N 618W X 6 3 1 10 SAN JUAN PR X X 1 4 5
TKPK 173N 627W X 3 5 1 9 PONCE PR X X 1 2 3
TNCM 181N 631W X 4 6 2 12
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
C FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
D FROM 8PM TUE TO 8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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