Hurricane FABIAN
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HURRICANE FABIAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 01 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST THU SEP 4 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
20.5N 61.0W 47 X X X 47 TIST 183N 650W X 3 3 1 7
21.5N 62.5W 18 13 1 X 32 TJPS 180N 666W X X 1 1 2
23.0N 64.0W X 17 9 1 27 TJSJ 184N 661W X 1 2 1 4
TFFR 163N 615W 1 X 1 X 2 BERMUDA X X X 4 4
TAPA 171N 618W 4 3 X X 7 ST CROIX VI X 2 2 1 5
TKPK 173N 627W 3 4 1 X 8 ST THOMAS VI X 3 3 1 7
TNCM 181N 631W 4 7 1 X 12 SAN JUAN PR X 1 2 1 4
TISX 177N 648W X 2 2 1 5 PONCE PR X X 1 1 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
C FROM 2AM WED TO 2PM WED
D FROM 2PM WED TO 2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI
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