Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI SEP 12 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST MON SEP 15 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
22.4N 62.1W 52 X X X 52 MBJT 215N 712W X X 1 8 9
23.0N 64.3W 8 26 1 X 35 MYMM 224N 730W X X X 7 7
23.6N 66.3W X 18 8 1 27 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 6 6
MDSD 185N 697W X X X 2 2 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2
TJSJ 184N 661W X X 1 1 2 SAN JUAN PR X X 1 1 2
MDPP 198N 707W X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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