Tropical Storm AGATHA
ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012004
2100Z SAT MAY 22 2004
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 109.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 109.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 109.6W
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.6N 110.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.3N 110.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.8N 111.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 19.2N 111.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 19.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 19.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 109.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
NNNN