Hurricane DARBY
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HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052004
0900Z FRI JUL 30 2004
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 130.8W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 130.8W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 130.2W
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.0N 132.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 19.3N 135.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 19.5N 138.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 19.7N 140.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.8N 146.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 20.5N 151.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 22.0N 154.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 130.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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