Tropical Storm ISIS
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TROPICAL STORM ISIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122004
0300Z THU SEP 09 2004
...CORRECT MAJOR GARBLING...
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 111.5W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 85SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 111.5W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 111.3W
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.0N 111.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.6N 113.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.1N 115.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 19.3N 123.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 19.8N 129.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 20.3N 136.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 111.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
FORECASTER BEVEN/HENNON
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