Tropical Storm ALEX
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TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 01 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT WED AUG 4 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.5N 77.8W 32 X X 1 33 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 2 9 11
34.7N 75.7W 4 16 2 X 22 PROVIDENCE RI X X 1 10 11
36.5N 72.5W X 1 11 4 16 NANTUCKET MA X X X 11 11
BERMUDA X X X 4 4 HYANNIS MA X X X 10 10
SAVANNAH GA 18 X X X 18 BOSTON MA X X X 10 10
CHARLESTON SC 42 X X X 42 PORTLAND ME X X X 8 8
MYRTLE BEACH SC 35 X X X 35 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 7 7
WILMINGTON NC 25 4 X X 29 EASTPORT ME X X X 6 6
MOREHEAD CITY NC 11 12 1 X 24 ST JOHN NB X X X 5 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC 2 15 4 X 21 MONCTON NB X X X 4 4
NORFOLK VA X 11 7 1 19 YARMOUTH NS X X X 7 7
OCEAN CITY MD X 2 12 1 15 HALIFAX NS X X X 4 4
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 9 4 13 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 2 2
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 5 6 11 EDDY POINT NS X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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