Tropical Storm ALEX
ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON AUG 02 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT THU AUG 5 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
35.7N 74.3W 29 4 X X 33 BOSTON MA X 1 4 1 6
37.4N 70.7W X 17 7 X 24 PORTLAND ME X X 3 1 4
39.9N 64.6W X X 10 3 13 BAR HARBOR ME X X 3 2 5
BERMUDA X X 2 2 4 EASTPORT ME X X 3 2 5
MYRTLE BEACH SC 29 X X X 29 ST JOHN NB X X 2 4 6
WILMINGTON NC 56 X X X 56 MONCTON NB X X 1 4 5
MOREHEAD CITY NC 52 X X X 52 YARMOUTH NS X X 5 3 8
CAPE HATTERAS NC 40 X X X 40 HALIFAX NS X X 2 6 8
NORFOLK VA 17 4 X X 21 SABLE ISLAND NS X X 1 8 9
OCEAN CITY MD 4 11 1 X 16 SYDNEY NS X X X 7 7
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 8 2 X 10 EDDY POINT NS X X 1 7 8
NEW YORK CITY NY X 4 2 X 6 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 6 6
MONTAUK POINT NY X 3 5 1 9 BURGEO NFLD X X X 6 6
PROVIDENCE RI X 1 6 X 7 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 7 7
NANTUCKET MA X 1 9 1 11 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 6 6
HYANNIS MA X 1 7 1 9 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
C FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED
D FROM 8PM WED TO 8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
NNNN