Tropical Storm ALEX
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HURRICANE ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE AUG 03 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT FRI AUG 6 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
36.3N 72.6W 28 4 X X 32 BOSTON MA X 1 1 X 2
37.8N 68.4W X 17 4 X 21 BAR HARBOR ME X X 1 1 2
39.4N 63.4W X X 12 3 15 EASTPORT ME X X 1 1 2
BERMUDA X X 3 2 5 ST JOHN NB X X 2 1 3
WILMINGTON NC 18 X X X 18 MONCTON NB X X 1 2 3
MOREHEAD CITY NC 58 X X X 58 YARMOUTH NS X X 4 2 6
CAPE HATTERAS NC 50 X X X 50 HALIFAX NS X X 3 4 7
NORFOLK VA 10 X X X 10 SABLE ISLAND NS X X 2 8 10
OCEAN CITY MD 5 2 X X 7 SYDNEY NS X X 1 5 6
ATLANTIC CITY NJ 1 2 X X 3 EDDY POINT NS X X 2 5 7
NEW YORK CITY NY X 2 X X 2 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 5 5
MONTAUK POINT NY X 2 1 X 3 BURGEO NFLD X X X 6 6
PROVIDENCE RI X 2 1 X 3 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 7 7
NANTUCKET MA X 4 3 X 7 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 7 7
HYANNIS MA X 2 3 X 5 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 6 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM WED TO 2PM WED
C FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
D FROM 2AM THU TO 2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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