Hurricane CHARLEY

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TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE AUG 17 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
42.7N  70.6W      20  2  X  1 23   PORTLAND ME       14  6  X  X 20
44.9N  66.7W       1 13  1  1 16   BAR HARBOR ME      4 13  X  1 18
46.5N  62.0W       X  2  8  2 12   EASTPORT ME        1 13  2  X 16
MYRTLE BEACH SC   99  X  X  X 99   ST JOHN NB         X 11  3  1 15
WILMINGTON NC     99  X  X  X 99   MONCTON NB         X  7  6  1 14
MOREHEAD CITY NC  57  X  X  X 57   YARMOUTH NS        1 12  2  X 15
CAPE HATTERAS NC  21  X  X  X 21   HALIFAX NS         X  6  6  1 13
NORFOLK VA        75  X  X  X 75   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  1  6  3 10
OCEAN CITY MD     60  X  X  X 60   SYDNEY NS          X  1  6  4 11
ATLANTIC CITY NJ  50  X  X  X 50   EDDY POINT NS      X  2  7  3 12
NEW YORK CITY NY  39  X  X  X 39   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  6  5 11
MONTAUK POINT NY  29  X  X  X 29   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  4  6 10
PROVIDENCE RI     26  X  X  X 26   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  3  6  9
NANTUCKET MA      19  2  X  1 22   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  1  7  8
HYANNIS MA        20  2  X  X 22   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  5  5
BOSTON MA         22  2  X  X 24
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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