Hurricane IVAN
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HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED SEP 08 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST SAT SEP 11 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
15.9N 73.4W 47 X X X 47 MYSM 241N 745W X X 1 3 4
17.4N 75.6W 4 29 X X 33 MYEG 235N 758W X X 3 7 10
18.6N 77.5W X 17 8 1 26 MYAK 241N 776W X X 2 10 12
MDCB 176N 714W 20 1 X X 21 MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 8 9
MTPP 186N 724W 8 10 X 1 19 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 6 6
MTCA 183N 738W 9 20 X X 29 MARATHON FL X X X 12 12
MKJP 179N 768W X 25 3 X 28 MIAMI FL X X X 9 9
MKJS 185N 779W X 13 11 1 25 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 6 6
MWCG 193N 814W X X 6 10 16 FT PIERCE FL X X X 4 4
MUGM 200N 751W X 16 5 1 22 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 3 3
MUCM 214N 779W X 1 15 5 21 KEY WEST FL X X X 12 12
MUCF 221N 805W X X 5 13 18 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 8 8
MUSN 216N 826W X X 1 13 14 FT MYERS FL X X X 6 6
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 13 13 VENICE FL X X X 4 4
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 6 6 TAMPA FL X X X 3 3
MYMM 224N 730W X X 2 2 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
C FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
D FROM 8PM FRI TO 8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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