Hurricane IVAN

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HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 09 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SUN SEP 12 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.7N  76.6W      46  X  X  X 46   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  7  8
18.9N  78.3W      14 19  X  X 33   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  7  7
19.9N  79.6W       X 22  4  1 27   MARATHON FL        X  X  2 14 16
MTCA 183N 738W    26  X  X  X 26   MIAMI FL           X  X  1 11 12
MKJP 179N 768W    43  X  X  X 43   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  9  9
MKJS 185N 779W    26  9  X  X 35   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  7  7
MWCG 193N 814W     X  7 10  3 20   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  5  5
MUGM 200N 751W    10  7  1  X 18   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X 15  5  2 22   KEY WEST FL        X  X  2 14 16
MUCF 221N 805W     X  2 14  6 22   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X 12 12
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  9 10 19   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X 10 10
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  5 13 18   VENICE FL          X  X  X  9  9
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  1 10 11   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  6  6
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  3  3   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  4  4
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  3  3  6   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  5  6 11   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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