Hurricane IVAN

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TROPICAL STORM IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  68
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED SEP 22 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT SAT SEP 25 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.5N  94.0W      46  X  X  X 46   FREEPORT TX       29  3  X  X 32
31.5N  95.5W      20 15  X  X 35   PORT O CONNOR TX  10  7  1  1 19
32.0N  96.0W      12 20  X  1 33   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   1  2  1  5  9
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  2  2   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  3  3
MOBILE AL          X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 89W      99  X  X  X 99
GULFPORT MS        X  1  X  4  5   GULF 28N 91W      87  X  X  X 87
BURAS LA          19  X  X  X 19   GULF 28N 93W      48  X  X  X 48
NEW ORLEANS LA    16  1  X  1 18   GULF 28N 95W      22  2  1  X 25
NEW IBERIA LA     39  X  X  X 39   GULF 27N 96W       3  2  1  2  8
PORT ARTHUR TX    42  X  X  X 42   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  2  2
GALVESTON TX      38  1  X  X 39
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM THU TO  7AM FRI
C FROM  7AM FRI TO  7PM FRI
D FROM  7PM FRI TO  7PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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